Friday, May 22, 2009

Port Commission: The Vote

Here’s my prediction on how the vote for San Diego Port Commissioner will go down.


Round 1: Everyone sticks to their nominees


Hueso – Burdick
Young – Burdick
DeMaio – Burdick
Gloria – Takvorian
Frye – Takvorian
Emerald – Evans
Faulconer - Evans
Lightner – Merrifield


Round 2: Decisions

I predict that Lightner lets Marshall go and sides with Burdick. Burdick has ties to Peters and Lightner fancies herself a moderate.

I also predict that Gloria and Frye stick to their guns. They have little to lose by doing so.

So who throws Evans under the bus? My gut says Faulconer. This is a guy who, like Mayor Sanders, would rather kick hard choices down the road until someone else can deal with them or has no choice but to act at which point he will then dive headlong with the prevailing winds. I say he’s the 5th vote.

Leaving Emerald. Does she stay or go with Evans? This will be telling. I give her a 60% chance that she’ll screw Labor out of pride and go for Burdick. She put the progressive community on notice with her choice and won’t back off from the ledge she has placed herself on. The justification will be that Burdick is a Democrat.

Hueso – Burdick
Young – Burdick
DeMaio – Burdick
Gloria – Takvorian
Frye – Takvorian
Emerald – Burdick (?)
Faulconer - Burdick
Lightner – Burdick

Either way, Burdick gets a jump start on her political career in the pockets of others.


The Spin
That the Takvorian nomination was ideologically extreme so it forced a moderate to be drafted to balance the competing interests on the Port Commission.

The thing is, if Hueso and his staff weren’t so blinded by their hatred of the Environmental Health Coalition, a true progressive could have been selected.

There is still time, but as it stands right now, this is how I see the vote.

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

DeMaio wins again.

Lorena Gonzalez is no Jerry B.

Sad...

Anonymous said...

that is an idiotic comment to make. You obviously know very little about Lorena or Jerry. How exactly did DeMaio "win"?

Anonymous said...

If Burdick is a "compromise" candidate between EHC and Bill Evans, I think the EHC-backers like Labor clearly won. While probably acceptable by both business and the left, she is still an improvement to the Left than Laurie Black was. Net win for the progressives, although Diane would have been an outstanding commissioner :).

Karl Forston said...

This actually is another instance of Lorena Gonzales having no pull with the city council anymore. Did anybody happen to see the puppy dog act she was pulling on Donna Frye in the VOSD. Her sliming of Tony Young with that police report is not going to be forgotten. I guarantee that.

Anonymous said...

BD Howard is so transparent as Karl Fortson it is sad. Pick a new pseudonym, BD, and quit your unsubstantiated trash talk about those who see through you.